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B. Stat. – 406
Probability Measure
Full marks – 50
(Examination 40, Tutorial/Terminal 7.5, and Attendance 2.5)
Number of Lectures – Minimum 30
(Duration of Examination: 3 Hours)

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Aim of this course
To introduce the concepts of sets, classes of events, measure and integral with respect to a measure, random variables and function and probability measure to show their basic properties, and to provide a basis for further studies in Analysis, Probability, and Dynamical Systems.
Objectives of this course
 
To describe algebra of sets, relations and the events and classes of events
 
To gain understanding of the abstract measure theory and definition and main properties of the integral
 
To construct Lebesgue’s measure on the real line and in n-dimensional Euclidean space
 
To explain the basic advanced directions of the theory
 
To gain the knowledge of probability measure, distribution functions and expectations, convergence of random variable and distribution
Learning Outcomes of this course
Having successfully completed this course, students will be able to demonstrate knowledge and understanding of:
 
State and prove theorems using measure theory
Use the definition of measurable functions to prove limit theorems
 
Define and use the Lebesgue integral
 
Use conditional expectations and martingales
 
Use product integration for calculating multivariate probability distribution functions

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Course Contents
Sets and Classes of Events: Algebra of sets, Relations, Open and closed set on Rn, Events and classes of events.
Measure: s-Algebra, Measurable set, Measurability, Lebesgue measure on the real line, Properties of measures, Borel set.
Random Variable: Concept, Limit, Simple, Inverse, Measurable, Borel, Characteristic, Random variables as measurable functions.
Integral of Measurable Function: Lebesgue integral of simple, integrable, and sequences of integrable functions, General and Riemann-Stieltje’s integral.
Probability Measure: Concept, Simple properties, Discrete, general, and induced probability spaces, Extended probability, Probability measure, Lebesgue-Stieltje’s measure, Signed measure, Borel-Cantelli lemmas, Zero-one law, Kolmogorov’s zero-one law.
Distribution Function and Expectation: Distribution function (DF) of a random variable and a random vector, Decomposition of DF’s, Correspondence theorem, Expectation and its properties, moments and inequalities.
Convergence: Types– probability, almost sure, r-th mean, distribution and their relations, Convergence of distribution functions, characteristic functions, and moments.

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Main Books Recommended:
1)
Athreya, K. B., & S. N. Lahiri (2006). Measure theory and probability theory. Springer.
2)
Billingsley, P. (2008). Probability and measure. John Wiley & Sons.
3)
Ross, S. M. (2014). Introduction to probability models. Academic press.
References:
4)
Folland, G. B. (2013). Real analysis: modern techniques and their applications. John Wiley & Sons.
5)
Gnedenko, B.V. and A. N. Kolmogorov (1984). Limit Distribution for Sums of Independent Random Variables. Addison-Wesley. N.Y.
6)
Halmos, P. R. (2006). Measure Theory, Sprnger-Verlag, N.Y.
7)
Kallenberg, O. (2002). Foundations of modern probability. springer.
8)
Morgan, F. (2008). Geometric measure theory: a beginner’s guide. Academic press.
9)
Pitt, H. R. (2012). Integration, measure and probability. Courier Dover Publications. [Borel, Ambrosio]
10)
Rudin, W. (1994). Real and Complex Analysis, McGraw-Hill, N.Y.